Barbara Norrander is professor of governments and public policy at the University of Arizona. Her most recent book is The Imperfect Primary: Oddities, Biases, and Strengths of U.S. Presidential Nominating Politics. Arizona has two Republican senators, a Republican governor, and a majority of Republicans in its U.S. House delegation and in both houses of its state legislature. Since 1952 it has voted Republican in every presidential election but one. Is there reason to regard it as anything other than a red state? Arizona remains a red state. Republican John McCain is likely to win election to his sixth term in the U.S. Senate. Congressional districts currently held by Republicans will stay in Republican hands, and those currently held by Democrats will remain so. Of the seven House races with an incumbent running, only two face a challenger who has raised more than $50,000. Even these two incumbents are likely to win. Across the U.S., state legislative races are low information elections in which voters generally select the party label that matches their own. In Arizona, state legislative races may be
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