May 17 is a big primary day with contests in Idaho, Kentucky, North Carolina, Oregon and Pennsylvania, here are the top races we are watching.

Idaho ID-02: Mike Simpson (R) - East: Boise, Pocatello, Idaho Falls Solid Republican. Simpson, a 12-term moderate, faces a rematch against conservative Idaho Falls attorney Bryan Smith. In 2014, Simpson clobbered Smith by 24 points, successfully portraying him as a pawn for out-of-state interests like the Club for Growth. This time around, however, Simpson is in much more danger—not only because he called Trump "unfit for office" in 2016 and voted for a January 6 investigation, but because he's angered conservatives on a red-hot local issue. In 2021, Simpson proposed a $33.5 billion plan to breach four hydroelectric dams along the Lower Snake River to save endangered Idaho salmon. Simpson calls the plan a compromise to settle costly, decades-long lawsuits filed by environmental groups. But conservative activists are livid with Simpson, claiming the plan would deprive farmers and ranchers of a critical water supply and threaten hydroelectric power, jacking up local electricity rates. Smith touts

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