Senior Editor David Wasserman contributed to this report.

Republicans last won a federal race in Hawaii in 2010, when Honolulu Councilman Charles Djou won a free-for-all special election for the 1st District with 39% while two Democrats split 58% of the vote. But Djou was defeated in the next regular election and Democrats have dominated since. Hawaii’s map has remained virtually unchanged for over five decades, with the 1st District anchored by Honolulu and the 2nd District taking in the rest of Oahu and the Neighbor Islands.

But the lines on the map don’t mean much anyway: ambitious Democrats have tended to run for a promotion in whichever seat comes open, regardless of where they live. Rep. Ed Case (HI-01) has represented both the state’s seats, and Rep. Jill Tokuda (HI-02) now looks well-settled after her seat’s previous two occupants, Tulsi Gabbard and Kai Kahele, cut their own House tenures short to focus on quixotic presidential and gubernatorial bids, respectively.

HI-01: Ed Case (D) - Oahu: HonoluluSolid Democrat. Case, who claimed this seat in 2018 after previously repping the

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