We've updated our House primary scorecard with the results of the final primaries in New Hampshire and Rhode Island. Between retirements, primary defeats and vulnerable incumbents, there are likely to be between 75 and 85 new members next year — close to a fifth of the House. And nationwide, Donald Trump has been more successful in moving Republicans in his direction than progressives have been in moving Democrats to the left.
In the 26 notable Republican primaries where Trump made an endorsement, Trump went 21-5. But in the 26 Democratic primaries where either Sen. Bernie Sanders, Sen. Elizabeth Warren or Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez made a pick, they batted a more modest 15-11.
Even in primaries where Trump didn't make a pick, candidates embracing an "America First," pro-MAGA message made breakthroughs, including in both New Hampshire seats on Tuesday (in the case of the 2nd CD, with Democrats' help). The hard-right Freedom Caucus is likely to expand its membership with Cory Mills (FL-07), Anna Paulina Luna (FL-13), Mike Collins (GA-10), Eric Burlison (MO-07) and Josh Brecheen (OK-02) among others.
Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.