This is the eighth in a series of race rundowns designed to give subscribers a quick snapshot of what's happening in each district in 2020. Throughout the cycle, watch for our detailed analysis of the most closely-fought races in our competitive race overviews. Individual race pages will be updated as developments warrant, and be sure to bookmark our ratings to keep track of the latest changes.
NC-01: G.K. Butterfield (D) - Northeast: Rocky Mount, Wilson Solid Democratic. Butterfield, a former judge from Wilson, loses very liberal Durham under the new lines, causing the 1st CD's 2016 Clinton share to fall from 67 percent to 55 percent. However, Clinton still carried the new seat by 11 points, so Butterfield will be fine under any normal presidential-year turnout scenario. NC-02: OPEN (Holding) (R) - Wake County: Raleigh and suburbs Likely Democratic. Talk about a "total makeover:" under the new map, the 2nd CD sheds Republican outer suburbs and picks up all of the city of Raleigh, converting it from a district President Trump carried by 12 points to one
Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.