This is the tenth in a series of race rundowns designed to give subscribers a quick snapshot of what's happening in each district in 2020. Throughout the cycle, watch for our detailed analysis of the most closely-fought races in our competitive race overviews. Individual race pages will be updated as developments warrant, and be sure to bookmark our ratings to keep track of the latest changes.
SC-01: Joe Cunningham (D) - Southeast: Charleston, Hilton Head Toss Up. It took a perfect storm in 2018 to elect Cunningham to a Lowcountry seat that voted for President Trump by 13 points in 2016. The ocean engineer and first-time candidate rode a blue wave to defeat GOP state Rep. Katie Arrington 51 percent to 49 percent. But the leading contributor: lingering GOP disunity after Arrington dethroned Trump critic and GOP Rep. Mark Sanford in the primary. There were other important factors: Cunningham, the aw-shucks son of a Kentucky Supreme Court justice, ran on a "Lowcountry over party" message. He and an outside group, 314 Action, hammered Arrington for waffling on
Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.