Following Tuesday's primaries in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan and Missouri, we're moving our ratings in five races — four in Democrats' direction and one towards Republicans. Most notably, GOP Reps. David Schweikert (AZ-06) and Ann Wagner (MO-02), both of whom represent heavily suburban districts where President Trump is now struggling, move from Lean Republican to Toss Up.

Rating Changes:

AZ-06: Schweikert — Lean R to Toss Up KS-02: OPEN (Watkins) — Lean R to Likely R KS-03: Davids — Lean D to Likely D MI-06: Upton — Likely R to Lean R MO-02: Wagner — Lean R to Toss Up

Updated Bottom Lines:

AZ-06: David Schweikert (R) - North Phoenix: Paradise Valley, Cave Creek Toss Up. In late July, Schweikert was reprimanded by the House and fined $50,000 after admitting 11 House ethics violations. Schweikert's ethics issues - ranging from pressuring aides to do political work to a top aide's $6,000 taxpayer-funded trip to the Super Bowl - have been well-known in DC for years. But incredibly, he's escaped the past few years without facing negative ads back home. That's about

More from the Cook Political Report

Virginia House
User photo