Following Tuesday's primaries in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan and Missouri, we're moving our ratings in five races — four in Democrats' direction and one towards Republicans. Most notably, GOP Reps. David Schweikert (AZ-06) and Ann Wagner (MO-02), both of whom represent heavily suburban districts where President Trump is now struggling, move from Lean Republican to Toss Up.

Rating Changes:

AZ-06: Schweikert — Lean R to Toss Up KS-02: OPEN (Watkins) — Lean R to Likely R KS-03: Davids — Lean D to Likely D MI-06: Upton — Likely R to Lean R MO-02: Wagner — Lean R to Toss Up

Updated Bottom Lines:

AZ-06: David Schweikert (R) - North Phoenix: Paradise Valley, Cave Creek Toss Up. In late July, Schweikert was reprimanded by the House and fined $50,000 after admitting 11 House ethics violations. Schweikert's ethics issues - ranging from pressuring aides to do political work to a top aide's $6,000 taxpayer-funded trip to the Super Bowl - have been well-known in DC for years. But incredibly, he's escaped the past few years without facing negative ads back home. That's about

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