Last week, we took a look at House Democrats' 19 vulnerable open seats — a durable reason why Republicans have a strong path to the majority. But Democrats have several promising pickup opportunities of their own, owing to both redistricting and GOP primaries that produced weak or controversial nominees — likely lowering the ceiling on potential GOP gains below the postwar midterm average of 26 seats for the party out of the White House. There are seven GOP incumbents who remain highly vulnerable in our Toss Up column: Reps. David Schweikert (AZ-01), David Valadao (CA-22), Mike Garcia (CA-27), Don Bacon (NE-02), Yvette Herrell (NM-02), Steve Chabot (OH-01) and Mayra Flores (TX-34). Of that group, GOP operatives are most bullish on Schweikert, Garcia, Bacon and Flores and are most worried about Valadao, Herrell and Chabot's weak standing. This week, we're taking a look at Republicans' six vulnerable open seats. An emerging theme: with so many vulnerable incumbents to defend and a worsening political climate, the DCCC and its allies are struggling to fund plenty of open seats they wish they could
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The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the US House of Representatives, US Senate, Governors and President as well as American political trends.
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