The Hoosier State has maintained a lopsided 7R-2D split in its House delegation since 2012, although Democrats started knocking at the door in the suburban Indianapolis 5th District towards the end of the last decade. However, Republicans used 2021 redistricting to install a new deadbolt: they removed heavily blue portions of Marion County from the seat and added several red, rural counties, making it safely GOP again — at least for the time being.
Now, the most competitive district in the state is the union-heavy 1st District outside Chicago, where Democratic Rep. Frank Mrvan won reelection 53%-47% in 2022 and is sure to get another serious challenge next year. But most of the action will be in next May’s GOP primaries for two safe red open seats: the Fort Wayne 3rd District, left open by Rep. Jim Banks’ Senate run, and the 5th District, where two-term Rep. Victoria Spartz is retiring.
IN-01: Frank J. Mrvan (D) - Northwest: Gary, HammondLean Democrat. The steelmaking, union-heavy 1st District is culturally closer to Chicago than the rest of Indiana, but
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