Throughout the 2022 redistricting cycle, we'll be providing a few quick updates on important mapmaking developments in each state. Be sure to visit our "Road Map to Redistricting" for an overview of who controls the process and links to our baseline analysis in each state.
September 16, 2021
On Tuesday, Indiana Republicans released a draft congressional plan that strengthens their grip on seven of the state's nine seats. Nonetheless, Democrats are breathing a sigh of relief: had Republicans been more aggressive, they could have targeted freshman Democratic Rep. Frank Mrvan by splitting up his Gary/Hammond-based 1st CD for an 8R-1D map. But they opted for only minor modifications, keeping his district Biden +8 (down from Biden +9).
The biggest change is in the suburban Indianapolis 5th CD, held by freshman GOP Rep. Victoria Spartz. As expected, Republicans stuffed northern Marion County — which Spartz lost by 29 points last year while winning by four points district-wide — into the safe blue Indianapolis 7th CD. As a result, the 5th CD would swing from Trump +2 to Trump +16 —
Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.