Kentucky: 2021 Redistricting Preview

April 2, 2021

Kentucky is up next in our redistricting series. Throughout 2021, we'll delve into the states in detail, spotlighting a different state's redistricting outlook each week. Make sure to read our full redistricting outlook.

Current Delegation: 5R, 1D Projected 2022 Seats: 6 (No change) Redistricting Control: Republican (Democrats control the governorship, but Republicans hold veto-proof majorities in both legislative chambers)

Current Congressional Map

Map credit: Cook Political Report, drawn with Dave's Redistricting App

District-Level Population Analysis Redistricting Outlook

Kentucky has had a fairly stable House delegation for the last decade: Democratic Rep. John Yarmuth has held the blue Louisville 3rd CD with ease while Republicans have held the other five seats, though Democrats made a fierce run at Lexington GOP Rep. Andy Barr (KY-06) in 2018. But if Republicans get aggressive in redistricting, they could take a sledgehammer to Yarmuth's district and try to wipe Democrats out entirely.

In November 2020, Republicans annihilated Democrats in state legislative elections, winning 75 of 100 state house seats and 31 of 38 state senate seats, aided by Donald Trump's 26 point landslide. That

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