Montana has passed a new congressional map. Use the jump links below to navigate to all of our updates as well as our original outlook.
On November 12, Montana's five-member commission approved a GOP proposal that excludes Helena from the new western 1st CD, likely resulting in a 2R-0D split. Under the new lines, the 1st CD would have been Trump +7 in 2020. Tie-breaking commissioner Maylinn Smith's vote in favor of the GOP plan surprised some Democrats, who hoped that Helena, Bozeman and Missoula would be combined to form a more competitive Trump +2 seat. GOP Rep. Matt Rosendale (MT-AL) lives in the safe Republican eastern 2nd CD and will continue to run there, while former Interior Secretary and Rep. Ryan Zinke, former flight surgeon
Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.