On Monday, court-appointed special master Jonathan Cervas submitted a new proposal for New York's congressional districts to an Upstate court overseeing the process after the state's top court threw out the Democratic legislature's map as a partisan gerrymander in violation of the state constitution. And although it's not the worst-case scenario for Democrats, it could seriously expand GOP opportunities in a "red wave."
Under the accelerated remedial process, there is a brief three-day window for parties and the public to submit comments on the preliminary plan, and Cervas must submit a final plan to the court this Friday. The state's primary has been delayed to August 23.
It's going to take a few days for the dust to settle. But there could be up to six competitive seats under these lines this fall, which could swing the state's delegation from 19D-8R to as narrow as 16D-10R or even 15D-11R if Republicans have a stellar year. In particular, Democrats are at risk of losing the 3rd CD on Long Island and the 18th and 19th CDs in the Hudson Valley,
What is The Cook Political Report?
The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the US House of Representatives, US Senate, Governors and President as well as American political trends.
Subscribe Today
Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.