Going into Sunday's Winston-Salem debate, Vice President George Bush holds a substantial, although not totally insurmountable, Electoral College advantage. Although recent national polls indicate that the gap is beginning to close, surveys conducted by both parties for Senate, Gubernatorial and Congressional races show a wider lead for Bush in the swing states.

Bush's lead in some of the Lean Republican states is hardly wide, but the numbers are surprisingly hard and it will be extremely difficult for Dukakis to narrow the lead any further. In Texas, for example, Bush is holding an 8 to IO-point lead despite Senator Lloyd Bentsen's popularity in the state. Dukakis' newly-pinned liberal tag is making the Governor an increasingly heavy burden for Bentsen to carry across the Lone Star state.

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