One of the many unique features of this presidential election is the fact that for the first time since 1892, we have a contest between two men vying for a second term. That means this election can be a referendum on 1) the present — do you think President Biden deserves to be re-elected? 2) The past — are you better off today under Biden than you were four years ago when Donald Trump was the incumbent? Or 3) The future — would you rather have four more years of Biden or four more years of Trump?

Today, a race about the past is one that benefits Trump. Poll after poll shows that, for the most part, voters feel more positively than negatively about his tenure as president. For example, the most recent New York Times/Siena poll found that 42% of Americans remember the years when Trump was president as good years for America, compared to 33% who said they were bad years. In the recent CNN poll, 55% said they thought Trump’s presidency was a success, to 44% who

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