A lot of people are getting pretty torqued up in anticipation of an indictment of former President Trump by a Manhattan grand jury as early as this week. It dates back to the $130,000 in hush money that former Trump attorney Michael Cohen paid to Stormy Daniels, an adult entertainer. Because Trump allegedly reimbursed him, it constitutes a possibly illegal campaign finance expenditure.

Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg is reportedly in the final stages before announcing an indictment, the first of a former president of the United States. Under normal circumstances, the prospect of a presidential candidate, a former president at that, getting arrested would be a campaign dealbreaker. But of course, over the last decade, what has been normal?

In fact, an indictment (or as Trump put it in a social media post over the weekend, an “arrest”) of the immediate past occupant of the Oval Office may not be as momentous as so many seem to think. Trump is certainly in substantial legal and political jeopardy, but this is not likely to be the case to bring him

More from the Cook Political Report

Cook Politcal Logo