The race for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination could be in the rearview mirror as soon as New Hampshire primary votes are counted Tuesday night, or at most 34 days later, once South Carolina votes. Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley could get a reprieve in the Granite State that would carry her to her home state’s primary on Feb. 28, but she shouldn’t count on much hospitality there, as former President Trump appears to have significantly more support among the Palmetto State’s Republicans. Trump is averaging a 30-point lead over Haley, 52 to 22 percent. In fact, New Hampshire is the one place in this process where independents get a chance to shout; after that, Republicans will decide their nominee, and their preference seems pretty obvious.

The really important thing to watch for over the next week or two has much more to do with the general election, not the GOP nomination, which has been a foregone conclusion for nine months. Anyone who passionately wants to see President Biden reelected, or perhaps just as fervently does not want to

More from the Cook Political Report

CPR 2024 National Polling Average
Cook Politcal Logo
First Person
Cook Politcal Logo