There is no reason to believe that President Biden will reverse his decision to seek a second term. He personally has sent no signals, nor have his remarkably disciplined White House staff, his kitchen Cabinet, or anyone on the reelection campaign.

But it is hard to look at recent survey data and not question whether his reelection bid really is such a good idea. The most recent surveys from CNN and The Wall Street Journal are brutal and corroborate similar findings by Fox News, The New York Times/Siena College, Marist College/NPR/PBS NewsHour, and Quinnipiac University, among others. The numbers show a very difficult road ahead for Biden and are tough to spin in any way that would soften the impact.

There is a pretty fair chance that a Democrat can win the national popular vote, but then again, that and five dollars will get you a cup of coffee at Starbucks. The country is evenly split, but as this column has repeatedly addressed (ad nauseam, as my Democratic friends and wife would say), the “wasted vote” challenge facing Democrats is

More from the Cook Political Report

First Person
Cook Politcal Logo