It has become a cliché to say that an upcoming election is the most important in history. I can’t recall a national election that someone hasn’t characterized in such a way. But it would be hard to overstate the importance and implications of the one next November.

The Republican presidential nomination has not been seriously contested in nine months. Only an adverse medical event looks able to derail Donald Trump’s nomination. He should have a clear majority of delegates before any criminal verdict against him is handed down. In fact, if everything breaks his way, it’s possible he could win both the nomination and even the general election before any trials begin. It is getting increasingly difficult to keep a straight face when Never Trumpers try to argue that Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Chris Christie, or the Tooth Fairy can still prevail. It’s even becoming boring to discuss whether Trump will effectively wrap up the GOP “contest” after Iowa, New Hampshire, or South Carolina.

Election watchers would be well advised to spend less time perusing national polls and focus instead

More from the Cook Political Report