This cycle’s primary calendar comes to a close on Tuesday, with the last outstanding competitive Senate fight set to be decided in New Hampshire. And staying true to form, the effort to take on Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan is shaping up to be another battle between a controversial MAGA acolyte who could endanger GOP efforts to flip the seat and an establishment-backed choice who Republicans in D.C. firmly believe would make the race the most competitive.

Although a dozen candidates are on the primary ballot, two have emerged as the most likely to win: state Senate President Chuck Morse or retired Army brigadier general Don Bolduc. Both national and in-state Republicans believe Morse would be the stronger nominee and worry that if Bolduc captures the nomination, the increasingly diminishing hope that they could defeat Hassan — whose own approval ratings are not strong — will fully evaporate. And given that the Chuck Schumer-linked group Senate Majority PAC is also running ads trying to attack Morse in the primary, it’s clear Democrats would also prefer Bolduc as their nominee.

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