With an evenly divided 50-50 Senate made official this week — and a Democratic majority thanks to now-Vice President Kamala Harris — it's hardly shocking or bold to say, even just weeks into 2021, to say that the Senate will absolutely be in play in 2022.
Republicans will be defending more seats (20) than Democrats (14). In our very early initial ratings, we have four competitive or potentially competitive seats for each party. For Republicans, the two most challenging are the open seats in Pennsylvania and North Carolina. These races are the lone Toss Ups since we don't start any incumbent in that column until a viable challenger emerges. From there, Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson (if he decides to run for re-election, which many of those close to him still aren't sure one way or the other) is the most vulnerable GOP incumbent and the only Republican running in a state that President Biden won.
On the Democratic side, newly sworn-in Georgia Sen. Raphael Warnock's race for a full term is
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