Bottom Lines are our most current take on a race.
Democratic U.S. Sen. Doug Jones won a special election in December of 2017, defeating former state Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore, 50 percent to 48 percent, just 21,924 votes out of nearly 1.35 million cast. Moore was a fatally damaged nominee, but he had a solid enough conservative base to defeat appointed GOP U.S. Sen. Luther Strange in the run-off. Moore’s vulnerabilities aside, Jones ran a very skillful campaign that took advantage of the environment that special elections create. Now, Jones needs to seek a full term in a more typical presidential election environment in a state that Donald Trump carried by 28 points in 2016. Moore is running again, largely to clear his name from allegations of sexual misconduct made during the special election, but he is not the threat he was then. His fundraising is way down and groups that endorsed him in 2017 are supporting other candidates this time. The NRSC has made no secret that they will oppose his efforts to win the nomination,
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