Updated Bottom Lines in Minnesota, New Mexico and Wyoming:


Immediately following the primary, this race moved to the Likely Democratic column. In hindsight, that move was premature; after further research and consideration, it is returning to the Lean Democratic column. In January of this year, former Lt. Gov. Tina Smith was sworn in to fill the vacancy created by the resignation of Democratic U.S. Sen. Al Franken. She is running in a special election in November to finish the remainder of Franken’s term. Whoever wins the special election will have to run for a full term in 2020. Smith, 59, has a background in marketing. From 2006 until 2010, she was chief of staff to Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak. She managed his unsuccessful campaign for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination in 2010. She then joined Dayton’s gubernatorial campaign as a senior adviser. He appointed Smith to be his chief of staff in the Governor’s office. When his Lieutenant Governor said that she would not be on the ticket in his bid for a second term, Dayton named Smith as his

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