It is Election Eve, and there are still nine Senate races within the margin of error, but it seems that Republicans have some momentum in a couple of these states.

In Iowa, Republican st. Sen. Joni Ernst is closing the race in a much stronger position than Democratic U.S. Rep. Bruce Braley. Retiring Democratic U.S. Sen. Tom Harkin's comparison of Ernst to Taylor Swift—suggesting that Ernst's looks are why she is doing well in the race--can't be helping Braley. It also feels as if GOP U.S. Rep. Cory Gardner has the wind at his back against Democratic Sen. Mark Udall, although polls continue to show a very tight contest. These two races are critical for Republicans on their path to 51 seats.

To revisit the Senate math: Republicans will pick up three Democratic open seats in Montana, South Dakota, and West Virginia. This means that they need three more seats to win the majority, providing they don't lose any of their own seats. Next up are the three Democratic-held seats we have in the Toss Up column that Republican presidential

More from the Cook Political Report

fetterman
National Politics
Charlie "Chuck" Cook