First person is a series of quick videos from the Cook Political Report editors exclusively for our site license members.

As the arrival of Census data kicks off the 2022 redistricting process, the early conventional wisdom is that Republicans are the clear favorites to win back House control next November.

However, it's far too early to pronounce Democrats' majority dead. In the months ahead, we'll be watching the following five factors: redistricting, the political environment, retirements, recruitment, turnout dynamics.

More from the Cook Political Report

Where History Rhymed and Where It Didn’t
National Politics
AW
GOP won the votes, but not the seats
National Politics
Photo of Charlie Cook