SENATE

North Carolina Senate2026

RACE AT A GLANCE

RACE TYPE

OPEN

Thom Tillis (R)

Retiring

RACE RATING

Last updated: Apr 13, 2026
Toss Up
Lean D

COOK PARTISAN VOTING INDEX

Last updated : Apr 27, 2026
D +50
R +50
R +1

Race summary

We’ve long believed the North Carolina Senate race is the GOP seat Democrats are most likely to flip.

Key Dates

Filing Deadline: Dec 19, 2025

Primary Election: Mar 3, 2026

INCUMBENT

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First Elected: Sign in to view

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INCUMBENT

Thom Tillis

First Elected: 2014

Last General Election: 48.7%

Last Primary Election: 78.1%

Full Bio:
TILLIS, Thomas Roland (Thom), a Senator from North Carolina; born in Jacksonville, Duval County, Fla., August 30, 1960; B.A., University of Maryland University College, 1997; management consultant; member of the Cornelius (N.C.) board of commissioners 2003-2005; member of the North Carolina house of representatives 2007-2014, serving as speaker of the house 2011-2014; elected as a Republican to the United States Senate in 2014 for the term ending January 3, 2021.

Source: Bioguide

CANDIDATES

Democrats

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Republicans

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STATE DATA

North Carolina

 

Population Breakdown

Source: United States Census

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    xx.x%
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    xx.x%
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    xx.x%
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    xx.xx%
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    xx.x%

Past Presidential Results from this State

2024 Election Results

Source: The Cook Political Report

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    xx.x%
    xx votes
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    xx.x%
    xx votes

2020 Election Results

Source: The Cook Political Report

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    xx.x%
    xx votes
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    xx.x%
    xx votes

RACE ANALYSIS

Race Analysis

Updated: Apr 13, 2026

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