All race analyses below can be found on our At-A-Glance race pages, which include district data and objective race analysis exclusively from our team. Research Associate Matthew Klein contributes to this report.

Arkansas hasn’t elected a Democrat to Congress since 2010, and isn’t about to snap that streak — especially after Republicans shored up GOP Rep. French Hill’s 2nd CD by controversially shifting several Black neighborhoods in Little Rock out of the seat in redistricting. Lawsuits by civil rights groups challenging the map remain stalled. The only threat to any of Arkansas’s leadership-friendly GOP members would come in a primary.

AR-01: Rick Crawford (R) - Northeast: Jonesboro, Arkansas Delta Solid Republican. Once fertile Democratic territory, the 1st district is locked up for Rep. Rick Crawford, the first Republican to hold the seat since Reconstruction. The onetime local farm broadcaster demonstrated his conservative bona fides in 2019, when he temporarily relinquished his Intelligence Committee assignment to allow Freedom Caucus Rep. Jim Jordan a prominent perch from which to defend then-President Donald Trump. After redistricting, the 1st district ceded conservative

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