Pennsylvania is up next in our redistricting series. Throughout 2021, we'll delve into the states in detail, spotlighting a different state's redistricting outlook each week. Make sure to read our full redistricting outlook.
Current Delegation: 9D, 9R
Projected 2022 Seats: 17 (-1)
Redistricting Control: Split (Democrats control the governorship, Republicans control both legislative chambers)
Map credit: Cook Political Report, drawn with Dave's Redistricting App
Pennsylvania is as deadlocked as they come: Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf is constantly at war with a Republican legislature, and its House delegation is tied at nine seats apiece. Now, with the state set to collapse from 18 to 17 seats owing to sluggish population growth, courts may have to resolve a redistricting impasse — and one side must end up with the short end of the stick.
This wouldn't be a new role for the Pennsylvania Supreme Court: in 2018, they ordered the most radical mid-decade redistricting of the past ten years — a decision that helped Democrats take back the House majority that year.
Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race.