As July comes to a close, the Presidential race and the battle for control of the House were at a crossroads, while the fight for the Senate remained a huge question mark. President Clinton wound up the month with a lead over former Senate Majority Leader Robert Dole that ranged anywhere from 15-24 points. Dole appeared to have narrowed the gap some in late June, only to see it widen back out after his misstep on the question of whether or not tobacco is addictive. Yet, the big advantage in voter preference that Democrats had built up during the spring and early summer began to diminish in July. Their lead on the generic Congressional ballot test question shrank from about 8 points to about 3 points. With a record 13 open Senate seats on the ballot, and potentially 14 depending upon the outcome of the GOP primary in the race to replace Dole, we're seeing an almost unprecedented level of volatility in the Senate, with an extraordinary number of competitive races and a wide range of possible outcomes.
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