The Swing State Project is a collaboration between The Cook Political Report and two pollsters, BSG and GS Strategy Group. Below are the toplines from the May 2024 poll. In total, 3,969 likely voters across seven swing states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin) completed the survey.

In the seven states combined, Trump leads Biden in a head-to-head matchup 47% to 44%. In a five-way ballot test that includes Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and independent Cornel West, Trump opened a larger lead—43% to 38% for Biden and 8% for Kennedy, Jr.

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